Statistical thinking for decisions under uncertainty.

What I do

Statistical Modeling

I design statistical models for inference and prediction, with assumptions made explicit and uncertainty quantified.

Data Analysis & Decision Support

I work with real-world data to support decisions where information is incomplete and variability is intrinsic.

Applied Biostatistics

Experience with health-related data and observational studies, where careful modeling matters.

How I work

Problem first

I start from the question, not from the method or tool.

Assumptions are not hidden

Every model relies on assumptions. I make them visible and discuss their implications.

Uncertainty is part of the result

Point estimates alone are rarely sufficient. Uncertainty is always reported and interpreted.

What I don't do

No black-box claims

No "AI magic" without explanation

No overconfident conclusions

No results without context

Who I am

I am Anastasios Apsemidis, a statistician with a PhD from the Athens University of Economics and Business.

My background spans mathematics, statistics and applied biostatistics, with a focus on inference under uncertainty.